About The ENALNewsletter and the 6 ENAL Tools for the Aluminum Smelter Supplier, Energy & Aluminum Industries
All sales forces in the smelter supplier industry must address 4 basic questions: which, when, why, and who. Which of the world's 250 aluminum smelters and projects will need your firm's equipment or services within the next ten years? When will the project start? Why are your products needed? Who should you contact and how soon? Use ENAL's 6 tools to address these questions, and you will: reduce your sales costs, increase the accuracy of your sales forecast, and achieve more consistent profits.
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ENAL CIF Model
The CIF (Capacity Index Forecast) Model is a simple spreadsheet that will show you, at-a-glance, if now is the time for your firm to start sales action on the next potline of CPA's Sorocaba smelter in Brazil, or on the extension of Century Aluminum's Grundartangi smelter in Iceland; and when to start action on Alcoa's future greenfield in Trinidad.
Demo CIF CLICK HERE (open to all)
Full CIF CLICK HERE (subscribers only) |
ENAL Panelists' Summary
Every quarter, our panelists list the Smelter Projects deserving immediate sales action and comment on their situation. In a special quarterly page in ENAL, our Panel of Experts now list for you, with their qualified opinion and comments, the investment projects which deserve a sales action now, and what they consist of.
CLICK HERE (subscribers only) |
Al - Steel Price Curves
Aluminum to Steel price ratio curves.
Demo Curves CLICK HERE (open to all)
Full Curves CLICK HERE (subscribers only) |
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SES Report
The ENAL SES Report Lists and discusses more than 80 international Smelter Equipment Suppliers. Subscribers are eligible for an extended listing.
CLICK HERE (subscribers only)
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Searchable ENAL Archives
Our specialized search function returns the full text of Archives items, with links to the files they came from. Search over 5 years of ENAL Newsletters.
CLICK HERE (subscribers only)
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Announcing Special Report: The new Arena of Technology Suppliers for Primary Aluminum Smelting in 2006-2010.
This will be the 3rd update of our Smelter Technology Report which was first produced in 1999. Since our last report in 2003, the technology scene has been changing significantly and is presently unstable. Policies of firms presently offering technology have been changed due to various mergers and acquisitions. Furthermore, intentions of new suppliers, notably from China, and their exact number and identity were unclear. We are more ambitious this time, and will present not only the identity, scope and nature of each offer, but give an independent report on how technology offer is affected by major changes in the market and environment, notably the energy market situation, itself affected by a world economy growing faster than ever since the fifties. We will discuss the five possible scenarios for investment in a greenfield smelter or in a significant revamping according to the nature of investors.
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The ENAL Tools
The ENAL Newsletter: A unique, complete ten-year account and forecast of investments in the primary aluminum industry and related energy generation investments. The Newsletter is updated twice a week, and includes a search tool that can pull up detailed press reviews on any smelter or investment project mentioned in ENAL News. The ENAL Newsletter lists all investment projects from 2005 to 2015 by their date of probable start-up, including the latest updates on each project. Plus: news from countries, metal producers, utilities, IPP's conditioning these future investments. ENAL Issues are archived quarterly, and subscribers have access to all archived ENAL issues since 1992.
ENAL News: The headlines above comprise part of ENAL News. Click on each headline to read an abstract gleaned from press releases, Internet news, and other news from firms. The abstracts are available to the public. ENAL subscribers get even more: links to ENAL's confidential Comments - our expert analysis and forecasting related to the news alert.
Capacity and Investment Forecast (CIF) Model:
Our unique spreadsheet provides an overview of all smelters and projects, world-wide, synthesizing the nature of each project (greenfield, extension, revamping, shutdown, etc.) and measuring its impact on world capacity and growth. Organized by probable year of completion, the CIF Model provides for each project:
- our panelists' predicted percentage chance of the project's completion in that year
- the recent history of the project assembled from far-reaching news sources
- when we recommend launching a sales action
- whether we have contact information available at the smelter or project (we often do).
The report's listings run into 2018 as of July 2005.
ENAL Panelists' Summary (EPS): An abstract list of investment projects (created on July 1st, 2005), concentrating on projects that deserve a sales action soon, with Panelists' comments explaining the status of the project.
ENAL Editorials: The Panelists' in-depth discussions about where the aluminum industry is going: major trends, controversies such as energy availability, future and current technologies. We offer at least one Editorial per quarter.
ENAL Contact Database: Let us perform the Market Scouting mission for you, saving you time and money. Using our contact information service, you can address the market's needs at the appropriate time while keeping your sales costs, notably your sales force's time and travels, under control. We can help you know and predict who will invest when in the aluminum smelting industry, and help find out who the decision-makers will be, and how to reach them. Ask us for Contact Information related to a specific project, which we can provide for a small supplemental fee.
How the Newsletter Works...
The ENAL Newsletter is the only frequently updated complete ten-year account and forecast of investments in the primary aluminum industry and related energy generation investments. Between the years 1998 and 2003, investments in primary aluminum smelters for specific equipment and related machinery alone represented a growing world market of $1.2 billion US / yr. Due to the industry's highly capital-intensive nature, investment decisions are very long-term and heavily planned. Investment decisions depend on complex factors including: energy markets, logistics, import substitution, local economic conditions, and financial markets.
The ENALNewsletter is presently circulated to decision-makers, experts and analysts in the aluminum industry, the energy industry, and related industries, notably engineering services, machinery and equipment for aluminum smelting. The ENALNewsletter results from exchanges between Panelists who are either decision-makers or experts in the primary aluminum industry and the energy sector worldwide, combined with a thorough press and web review of the main trade publications in the energy, aluminum, non-ferrous metals, and metals and minerals industries, plus information from the companies themselves. Our forecasts regarding possible dates for smelter greenfields, extensions, revampings and shutdowns are consistent with global figures forecasting the evolution of the total world capacity. These figures themselves are consistent with generally accepted trends for the total growth of primary aluminum production and capacity.
At the same time, we monitor data on the whole industry of Engineering Services, and Machinery and Equipment manufacturing for Aluminum smelters (the Smelter Equipment Supplier industry). We know how much work (new capacity, revamped capacity, etc) the SES industry can deliver each year.
For instance, if our panelists decide to delay the previously foreseen date for the start-up of a Greenfield to a date when another Greenfield plus a major revamping are already foreseen as completed, we will then analyze how this change impacts the world capacity while also examining how the change fits with the total workload for the SES industry. We have performed such interactive adjustments to our CIF Model of World Aluminum Capacity since 1991. Our experience and these adjustments make our forecasting system the most accurate in the industry. This is why so many of your colleagues and competitors already subscribe to The ENALNewsletter.
ENAL was created in 1992 as a confidential forecast tool between several panelists; ENAL is sold on subscription since 1998. Its subscription volume has been growing at a rate of 51%/Yr. since 1998 and 83%/Yr. since 2001. The website has reached a rate of visits (hits) of 14,000/month in January '05, having grown from 2,000/month when it was created in mid '03.
Subscribe today at an introductory rate of $792 US /yr. Our US Regular subscription Rate is $990/yr. Our US Introductory Rate is $792. Subscriptions are also available in Euros -- Regular Rate: € 750, Introductory Rate: € 600. Please contact us for payment details. Welcome aboard!
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